Of course, he could also start to show his age and prove that his poor season last year was no fluke, but with a mostly clean injury history and less tread on his tires than most 28-year-old running backs, I think he should be able to perform. Main photo: He entered Week 4 with 18-plus opportunities (carries plus targets) in each game this year — and then he had just 13 carries and no targets. Antonio Gibson is wearing a Mighty Ducks jersey. Unfortunately, a slew of injuries has stripped some trust from fantasy owners. Follow the Heavy on Fantasy Facebook page for all the latest rankings, updates, & insight! I do, because I remember saying "maybe we were wrong about him being a boring low-end RB2." Week 1 fantasy football start or sit decision regarding Houston Texans running back David Johnson vs. the Kansas City Chiefs. However, it’s worth noting that Johnson was actually pretty effective when given the starting role. David Johnson Fantasy Football Outlook - All Things Fantasy Sports, David Johnson Fantasy Football Outlook - Last Word on Pro Football - All Things Fantasy Sports, Last Word on Pro Football: David Johnson Fantasy Football Outlook - FFB HUB, Time to End the Taysom Hill Experiment for the New Orleans Saints, Monday Impressions: Vikings Get First Win - The Vikings Gazette, Mike Zimmer Game Plan Key to Minnesota Vikings’ Win, Fantasy Football Week 1- Wide Receiver Start, Sits - Last Word On Pro Football - FFB HUB, Fantasy Football Week 1 Wide Receiver Start Sits: Terry McLaurin, A.J. pic.twitter.com/Vz2hM7DMKM, — C.D. Uh, two elderly women are at a Catskill mountain resort, and one of them says: “Boy, the food at this place is really terrible.” The other one says, “Yeah, I know, and such small portions.” Well, that’s essentially how I feel about life. After a tough start to the season, the Texans got their first win in Week 5 and will look to build on that heading into a Week 6 match-up with the Titans. Let’s discuss. The Jets are No. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. 1 running back in the Raybon Model for DraftKings, where he has position-high median, ceiling and floor projections. Of these older running backs, Johnson easily has the best quarterback situation and a coach that has everything to lose by not playing him as much as humanly possible. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns (+2) vs. Indianapolis Colts, 46 O/U: The Colts are No. 30 with an 11.9% rush-defense DVOA. Robinson started out with an extremely nice backfield role, and it has only expanded since then. Salaries: $6,800 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel. 6 carries per game. Can Johnson work his way back into good graces and return to his must-start form against the defending Super Bowl champs tonight? For tournaments, use our Lineup Builder to stack the receiving back with his passer. Your email address will not be published. And that’s not a surprise. His 20.2 points per game average over that span outpaced the likes of elite talents such as Ezekiel Elliott and Alvin Kamara. This is the fourth straight week Drake has topped some of our Models, and a lot of what I said in last week’s RB breakdown still applies. If we go down Narrative Street for a little bit, Bill O’Brien will want to justify the DeAndre Hopkins trade. While his pass catching ability helps his value in PPR leagues, his low volume does not provide enough upside to be comfortable inserting him in starting lineups at this point in time. Houston Texans running back David Johnson has quickly gone from the Belle of the ball to NFL afterthought, seemingly overnight. Through the first six weeks of the season, Johnson averaged 20.2 fantasy points per game and was the RB5 overall. The line opened at -3.5 and has been bet to -2. Yet, when on the field, the 28-year-old has remained one of the most elite all-purpose fantasy backs in all of football. — Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) October 5, 2020. In each of the past two seasons he has been the NFL’s most no-nonsense North/South runner with Efficiency Grades of 2.78 and 2.93, and this year he’s No. He’s getting more receiving work than he has ever gotten before, he’s still getting plenty of touchdown opportunities on a team scoring 31.5 points per game, and — most importantly — running backs don’t matter. With his total performance, Robinson exhibited 89th-percentile 127.5 SPARQ athleticism (per Player Profiler), and that’s more than sufficient to be a productive NFL back. The NFL’s 2016 all-purpose yards leader has battled injuries in two of the last three seasons, leading to the former All-Pro losing his grip on the starting job with the Cardinals a season ago. You can bet on this game at DraftKings. The former Arizona Cardinal might not ever recapture his 2016 magic, but he’s in the best situation of all the veteran running backs. I’m honestly tempted to end the analysis now — because the matchup is all that matters. I prefer James Robinson. Still, he's seen at least 19 touches in back-to-back games, which is the volume we'd hoped for. But Johnson is 51-197-2 rushing and 9-100-0 receiving on 14 targets through four games. The league-high 2,118 yards and 20 touchdowns he compiled in those halcyon “Jam ‘Em In” days are a distant memory. Welcome to USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire's European Union Experience. What do I think of Drake in comparison to someone like, say, James Robinson? I very much doubt that this will be a 20-touch performance for Gurley. He has outperformed in every game (per our FantasyLabs Trends Tool). We go over David Johnson, Duke Johnson Jr.’s fantasy football outlook ahead of the Texans Week 6 matchup against the Titans. This offensive line is no longer the road-grating unit of old. No running back this year has exceeded expectations more than Robinson based on our Plus/Minus metric. I know the suspense must be killing you: The Jags have perhaps been a little better against running backs this year, but not by much. Not so fast. Is it worth my time to type all of this out? We SUCK!”. The Pats will have a ground-based offense in Week 5 with either Brian Hoyer or Jarrett Stidham (or Julian Edelman, LOL) at quarterback. You’re not living right. The stars are quietly aligning for Johnson to once again be a true three-down back. Salaries: $5,700 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel. 3 against the Texans with 27.9 fantasy points per game on 121-651-6 rushing and 12-105-0 receiving. DJ lost a job last season first to Chase Edmonds, then to mid-year acquisition Kenyan Drake. David Johnson could bounce back like a blue-chip stock this season, and make fantasy owners look silly for selling their shares in him over the summer. He is no longer the 2016 All-Pro version of himself. Literally everything that could change for David Johnson, did change. – Jettisoned this offseason Johnson may be hitting his stride just in time, as the Titans secondary is one to be avoided, and the team may need to look towards beating Houston on the ground. Not only did they allow the eighth-most rushing yards last season, but running backs also saw an absurd 161 total targets against them, most in the NFL. Knowing Johnson's workload, you should feel safe plugging him into your lineup as a solid RB2 this week. Even so, Drake has never had a snap rate lower than 64% since joining the Cardinals in Week 9 last year, and despite his recent month-long meh-burger, Drake has done well enough in his 12 games with Arizona. I don’t want to play him any weekend. After entering the season as the starter, Johnson quickly lost the job to Chase … – Weeks 2-4: 69% They have been extraordinarily fortunate with their matchups. You can bet on this game at FanDuel. Edwards-Helaire is a top-six RB1 in season-long leagues and strong option in all DFS contests. Furthermore, he owned a healthy eight targets per game average as a receiver over five of those six games. Tale of the tape for Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs. Maxim Grishin, Wide receiver non-PPR rankings for Week 6 fantasy football, Wide receiver PPR rankings for Week 6 fantasy football, Quarterback rankings for Week 6 fantasy football, D/ST rankings for Week 6 fantasy football, Darrell Henderson, Cam Akers, Malcolm Brown’s fantasy football outlook Week 6 vs. 49ers. On top of that, starting right tackle La’el Collins (hip, IR) is out for the year, and last week replacement Terence Steele was benched for third-stringer Brandon Knight. Salaries: $4,600 DraftKings, $5,500 FanDuel, Damien Harris, New England Patriots (-8) vs. Denver Broncos, Total Off Board: If Harris had put up his 17-100-0 rushing performance on Sunday afternoon instead of Monday Night Football, he’d be maybe $1,000 more expensive in DFS. Salaries: $6,400 DraftKings, $6,800 FanDuel, Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders (+13) at Kansas City Chiefs, 56.5 O/U: No. Texans' David Johnson: Less success Week 2 23D ago • Johnson gained 34 yards on 11 carries and caught two of four targets for 16 yards in Sunday's 33-16 loss to the Ravens in Week 2. The Cowboys are dealing with key issues along the offensive line, and that’s suboptimal for Elliott, who has long benefitted from strong blocking. His days of dependable use are done. Salaries: $6,300 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel, Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts (+2) at Cleveland Browns, 46 O/U: The matchup isn’t especially exploitable, but Taylor is pacing for 1,360 yards and eight touchdowns — and he hasn’t even been all that impressive. 8 among all running backs with 18.1 expected fantasy points per game, Jacobs is being used like the 22-year-old big-bodied second-year first-rounder he is. For updates, see our FantasyLabs News Feed. The season is still young, but so far Elliott has career-low marks in breakaway percentage (the percentage of total rushing yards from big plays) and yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A). In just three regular-season games over the past four-plus years has Elliott been anything worse than a fantasy RB2.
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